Monday, December 17, 2007

Forecast: Fewer refinished kitchens

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Americans will spend less on home renovations in 2007 than in recent years, according to a report from the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University.

Weak home prices and flagging consumer confidence are expected to take their toll on renovation activity, which is forecast to decrease for the first time since 2003.

The Joint Center, which has tracked renovations since 1998 in its Leading Indicator for Remodeling Activity, expects a decline of 2.3 percent for all of 2007 compared with 2006.

"As homeowners become increasingly concerned about falling house prices and a slowing economy, home improvement spending is dragging. Coupled with very modest home sales, spending levels are likely to fall," Nicolas Retsinas, the center's director, said in a statement.

Retsinas pointed out that the liquidity squeeze that gripped credit markets starting in July put a damper on cash-out refinancing activity, one of the prime methods home owners use to fund big renovation projects.

Home-price declines also affect consumer spending less directly, by eroding the "wealth effect," the feeling of confidence that high home prices boosted during the boom.

The center predicted the decline will continue through at least the first half of 2008 with spending expected to drop 4.2 percent during the three months ending June 30, 2008. Top of page

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source: money.cnn.com

Homeowners: Sell it yourself

NEW YORK (Money Magazine) -- The last time Sabrina Williams sold a home herself, she received a solid offer the first week, got her asking price of $319,000 and saved nearly $9,000 in broker fees in the process. Snap, just like that.

So when Williams, 32, a pharmaceutical company manager, and her husband Michael Cunningham, 37, an IT consultant, recently decided to sell the three-bedroom townhouse they own in Germantown, Md., she figured she knew just what they had to do to find a suitable buyer.

"We'd fluff up the towels, clean the carpets and buy a new chandelier," she says. "And in return we'd save thousands."

But while that simple approach worked well when the couple sold their first home in 2004, that was then (then being one of the hottest real estate markets in decades) and this is now (when inventories of unsold homes are at their highest levels in nearly 15 years).
Where homes are affordable

In the two months since they put their townhouse on the market, Williams and Cunningham haven't gotten even one bid from a prospective buyer, and they're already beginning to consider other options.

"We can always knock down the price," Williams says. Or maybe, she muses, they'll postpone selling until spring: "It's not like we're in a hurry."

Welcome to the brave new world of FSBO (pronounced fiz-boh), an acronym for "for sale by owner" and the shorthand way to refer to houses that sellers market themselves.

With home prices expected to fall this year and next, more sellers are going the FSBO route. Their goal: to keep a bigger share of the proceeds from a sale by forgoing the services of a listing broker and saving the 3 percent commission she'd likely charge (when you do a FSBO, you typically still have to pay a 3 percent commission to the buyer's broker).

Last year about 20 percent of sellers unloaded their homes without an agent, up from 12 percent in 2005, reports industry newsletter Real Trends. And that's expected to rise again next year.

But even in the best of times, many homeowners who start out doing a FSBO eventually enlist the aid of a broker. Some get fed up with around-the-clock phone calls and the stream of nosy strangers. Others aren't sure how to price their house, show it to best advantage or deal with the legal ins and outs.

And in tougher real estate markets like this one, those challenges only get, well, tougher. Luckily, as interest in FSBOs has grown, so has the number of businesses that serve them.

"There are plenty of places where you can go for guidance," says Steve Ozonian, chairman of Help-U-Sell, which has 800 franchises offering such services as staging (getting your home ready to show) and help with the closing.

As long as you're willing to show the place, you can pay a few experts here and there and still wind up saving a big chunk. You probably won't spend much more than $1,600.

Money Magazine asked homeowners who did it - and experts who serve them - how to do a successful FSBO. Their advice:
Plan for a major time suck

You probably expect you'll have to block out Sunday afternoons to show your place. But it's worse than that - much worse. You also have to be ready to show it at any time, even during work hours. (Hope you have an understanding boss.) And you'll need time to conduct negotiations and make repairs that buyers demand.

"It helps to be handy," says college professor Bruce Weinberg, 48, who repainted the kitchen of his suburban Boston house in one night last year while his family slept. He sold the house in six weeks for $850,000, saving an estimated $21,000 in commissions. "You can only get through it by focusing on the savings."
Don't get greedy

Many first-time FSBOs come up with an unrealistic listing price based "on whatever amount of money they need" to afford the next house, says Laura Dee Mytinger, an agent in Kansas City, Mo.

Instead, base the price on what similar houses in your area sell for. You can get up-to-date sale prices by visiting your county records office. Or hire a professional appraiser. Typical fee: $300. (Look for one at eppraisal.com.)
List it right

Sticking a for sale sign on your lawn isn't enough. Because 80 percent of home buyers start their search online, you have to get your house entered in the multiple-listing service, a central repository where all the brokers in a given geographic area share listings.

The MLS feeds other sites for house hunters. You can find a licensed real estate agent to list your place on FlatFeeMLSListing.com. Doing that will run you $250 to $400. And post a notice at craigslist.com; it's free.
Spiff up the place

Cluttered, poorly laid-out rooms can make your house look smaller than it is. And size equals money. If you're clueless about home design, recruit a stager to create a plan for making the house look more appealing. Cost: about $300. (Find an accredited pro at stagedhomes.com.)

For a few thousand more, stagers will execute their tips - replacing draperies or painting over the color scheme you stole from Taco Bell. You can DIY by watching homestaging shows such as HGTV's Designed to Sell, suggest Dave and Erin Kaegebein.

The couple, who sold their Aurora, Ill. house in six weeks last year, attribute the healthy price they got - $204,500 - to advice from such programs. Among their tips: Use neutral wall colors and clear out closets to make them look bigger.
Don't skimp on a lawyer

An experienced real estate attorney can tell you what flaws you're legally required to share with buyers (that slab leak, for example) and what you can let them discover for themselves (those noisy neighbors).

He can also help you negotiate the final deal and draw up closing documents. Expect to spend at least $500. To find a lawyer, get referrals from friends who have recently sold a home - without problems - or go to realestatelawyers.com and plug in your zip code.
Make 'em show you the money

Ask buyers to include with their offer a letter from a lender confirming that they can afford the mortgage required. And don't take your house off the market until you get a good-faith deposit of at least $1,000.

Above all, stay patient. As Williams says, that may be easier to do if you remind yourself how much you're saving in commissions. She notes, "Even if we do have to reduce our price, I'm confident by selling the house ourselves, we'll make a better profit on the deal." Top of page

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source: money.cnn.com

FCC may rule soon on media ownership

WASHINGTON - The chairman of the Federal Communications Commission is proposing a plan that would wrap up by the end of the year the long-running debate over how many media properties a company can own in a single market.

Chairman Kevin J. Martin's proposal would allow for public comment on the proposed rules this month and in November and a commission vote Dec. 18.

Among the rules that are potentially on the chopping block is a ban on one company owning a newspaper and broadcast station in the same market. The rule is of particular interest to Los Angeles Times owner Tribune Co., which is the subject of a pending buyout led by Chicago real estate magnate Sam Zell.


Tribune has waivers that allow the company to own both newspaper and broadcast properties in New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Hartford/New Haven in Connecticut and Miami/Fort Lauderdale. The waivers would not be transferred to the new owners.

But if the FCC agrees to Martin's schedule and then votes to eliminate the cross-ownership ban, it becomes a moot point and allows Tribune to close the transaction by year's end, as it had hoped.

Martin said Wednesday that the plan under consideration was more open and had more public input than the process followed by his predecessor, Michael K. Powell, in 2003. Powell held one public hearing whereas the Martin-led agency, by December, will have conducted eight hearings all over the country and completed 10 studies.

After the commission's 2003 vote to relax certain ownership rules and tighten others, in which Martin was in the 3-2 majority, there was intense criticism from Republicans and Democrats on Capitol Hill and a public outcry. Much of the decision was eventually invalidated by a federal appeals court.

Media consolidation foes said Wednesday that the FCC chairman might be moving too fast. Sen. Byron Dorgan (D-N.D.) said one month for the public to consider the rule was not enough.

Democratic Commissioner Jonathan S. Adelstein did not object to the timeline but said the FCC had a lot of work to do before making its decision.

"We should first address the appalling lack of ownership of media outlets by women and people of color," he said. "And we need to implement improvements in how outlets handle issues of concern to local communities."

Gene Kimmelman, a vice president at Consumers Union, publisher of Consumer Reports magazine, called the studies "so flawed and so biased, they have no basis for relaxing media ownership rules."

Martin defended the studies, saying he allowed opponents to participate in how they were conducted.

The proposed schedule calls for a public hearing in Washington on Oct. 31, a hearing Nov. 2 in Seattle, publication of the proposed rule Nov. 13 and a vote Dec. 18.

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source: chicagotribune.com

Red Hot Gala Sets New Record For Donations

CHICAGO, IL, October 19, 2007 - For the fifth straight year the Red Hot Gala, benefiting the Primo Center for Women and Children ("PCWC"), raised a record amount of money to help fight homelessness in Chicago. The sixth annual gala was held Saturday, October 13, 2007 at The Murphy Auditorium at 50 East Erie Street and raised nearly $500,000.

Over 200 people attended the event entitled "Havana Nights", which highlighted the color and pageantry of Cuba, and featured a special 90-minute performance by jazz legend Arturo Sandoval. Also joining Co-Masters of Ceremonies Quintin E. Primo and his wife Diane in the fight against homelessness in America was award-winning director/choreographer/actor Debbie Allen and Hollywood producer Moctesuma Esparza, who has produced such notable films as "Selena" and "Introducing Dorothy Dandridge".

"It warms my heart and my family's heart to know that so many people in the Chicago community would reach deep into their pockets to help our homeless moms and kids," said Quintin E. Primo III, Chairman of PCWC and Chairman and CEO of Capri Capital Partners in Chicago. "The fight against homelessness is a tough one, but with our dedicated staff and generous supporters, we focus on ending homelessness one family at a time."

The gala was created six years ago by mover-and-shakers in the Chicago real estate community, and this year the guest list expanded to include some of the city's top business professionals.

About Blitz Group LLC
Blitz Group LLC is a boutique media company specializing in media strategy, television production and event planing

About Primo Center for Women and Children
PCWC is a non-profit, 501 C 3, 120-day transitional homeless center located in the West Garfield neighborhood of Chicago. PCWC is a national role model, because of its unique living conditions that feature private and semi-private rooms for moms and their kids. Families are assigned and receive counseling, support services, job training and education.

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source: 24-7pressrelease.com

Delinquency risk rising

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- As housing markets deteriorated over the summer, and a liquidity squeeze buffeted credit markets, delinquencies and defaults jumped. And now one forecast predicts that these numbers will climb even higher over the next six months.

The Core Mortgage Risk Monitor (CMRM), an index of foreclosure risk compiled by First American CoreLogic, increased by 1.6 percent compared with the three months ended June 30.

The index predicts the chances that future mortgage loan delinquencies will occur and is based on such factors as fraud propensity and collateral risk (the accuracy and sustainability of home prices paid), house price dynamics and the health of local market economies.

Nationally, the index has settled into a level similar to what existed at the end of the last recession in 2001. And because the risk of default continued to rise for two years after that event, CoreLogic predicts the current risk index will keep going up for another 18 months or more.

While the national risk average has risen, scores among metro areas vary widely. "It's not necessarily a national problem," said CoreLogic's chief economist, Mark Fleming. "It's focused on local markets."

High risk markets have foreclosure rates and fraud and collateral risk indices three times the national averages. High risk markets also have job issues such as high unemployment of low wages and wage growth, all indications of economic stress.

By contrast, the lowest risk markets have low unemployment, high-paying jobs and solid job growth, moderate house price appreciation, low foreclosure rates, and minimal fraud and collateral risk. Overall, the rankings strongly support the assertion that mortgage risk is concentrated in specific regional or local markets.

The areas most affected by delinquencies are represented by Rust Belt localities such as Detroit, where the troubled auto industry has devastated the local economy. CoreLogic ranks it as the number one city for delinquency risk.

In more economically healthy areas, overheated housing prices in mostly coastal state communities can drive up the delinquency risk.

High home prices mean that a large percentage of buyers have overextended themselves to get into a home. They may have taken out mortgages with low initial interest rates that later reset much higher, counting on rising prices to allow refincing at lower rates.

But when home prices fell, those escapes shut down, and the risk of delinquency jumped. That's what's happening in many once overheated coastal-states.

Less at risk are cities where the economy remains healthy but prices never ran up at breakneck pace. If home prices are still rising, it further reduces risk. That insulates places Salt Lake City, where median home prices appreciated in double digits over the past 12 months, from wholesale delinquencies.

The fourth market category is made up mostly of what has been dubbed "Superstar Cities," places so attractive that even though homes are very expensive, people still line up to buy them. New York, San Francisco and Los Angeles are good examples.

Sky-high prices in these cities introduce an element of risk but steady demand and high barriers to development (limited open land, stringent regulatory atmosphere) keep prices from falling and risks low.

"The rise in home prices were supported by the fundamentals of the local economy," said Fleming.

Among the 100 largest cities, the major market with the highest risk for delinquencies, after Detroit, is Warren, Michigan, another auto-industry dependent metro area. The only non-Rust Belt cities in the top 10 are Memphis, Tennessee and McAllen, Texas.

The lowest risk metro area is Honolulu, followed by Salt Lake City and Richmond, Virginia. Top of page

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source: money.cnn.com